Pick Accuracy for actionable Winner signals only
n=16 · correct 13 · wrong 3
FREE PREDICTIONS
Free Dota 2 predictions
Free predictions for Dota 2 matches: pre-match win probability, result history and transparent model statistics. The prediction is locked before match start and does not change afterward.
3public predictions
for 7 days
for 7 days
38completed snapshots
in live history
in live history
140matches in historical
validation
validation
PRODactive model
native-team-player-v6-production-v1
native-team-player-v6-production-v1
STATISTICAL PREDICTION
Dota 2 predictions: win probability and model history
Bestorama показывает зафиксированные до старта вероятности по матчам Dota 2. Здесь можно проверить текущие прогнозы, размер выборки, Brier score, историческую проверку и завершённые snapshot с фактическим результатом.
Это статистическая оценка, а не гарантия исхода: исходный pre-match snapshot после начала матча не переписывается, а экспериментальные shadow-модели не подменяют публичную production-вероятность.
VERIFIABLE METRICS
What the metrics mean →
How the model is performing now
Model Winner Accuracy across all scored snapshots
включает нейтральные/слабые сигналы · n=38Brier score — probability quality
log loss: 0.5460Diagnostic slice below the current Pick gate
n=28High-confidence Native v6
n=2 · small sample shown explicitly
Публикация Dota 2:
Winner ON
Total OFF
Scenarios OFF
Метрики показываются вместе с размером выборки; небольшая выборка не маскируется маркетинговым процентом.
Dota 281.25%Bestorama Picks 70%+ · n=16
78.95%
Native v6 all scored · n=38
WLSpublication
Counter-Strike 278.26%Bestorama Picks 70%+ · n=92
69.69%
Native v6 all scored · n=254
WLSpublication
League of Legends76.19%Bestorama Picks 70%+ · n=21
59.65%
Native v6 all scored · n=57
WLSpublication
StarCraft II—Bestorama Picks 65%+ · n=0
69.32%
separate StarCraft model · historical validation · n=929
WLSpublication
StarCraft: Brood WarPROBProbability-only · Pick disabled
55.79%
separate StarCraft model · historical validation · n=95
WLSpublication
HISTORICAL VALIDATION
Historical validation — separate from live Native v6
These results belong to the previous out-of-sample historical validation and are not the current prospective Native v6 statistics.
68.3%
historical winner · n=104
MOUZ
TOMORROW
Tomorrow's predictions
Dota 2
EPL World Series • Southeast Asia season 18 2026 • Playoffs
Direborn
VS
Я
ЯЧЁ123
Slight edgeDireborn63%Direborn 63% · ЯЧЁ123 37%
Confidence: —Locked 06.10.2026 12:40Open match →
Dota 2
EPL World Series • Southeast Asia season 18 2026 • Playoffs
InterActive Philippines
VS
Xipto Esports
Slight edgeInterActive Philippines59%InterActive Philippines 59% · Xipto Esports 41%
Confidence: —Locked 06.10.2026 12:40Open match →
UPCOMING
Next predictions
Nothing here yet.
There are no public predictions for the following days that passed the quality gate yet.
TRANSPARENCY
All results →
Verified prediction history
Important: Model probability is stored and evaluated for every scored snapshot. The Pick gate depends on the discipline: Dota 2 / CS2 / LoL use 70%+, StarCraft II uses 65%+, while Brood War currently publishes probability-only without a Bestorama Pick. Brier score and diagnostic Winner Accuracy are not filtered by the Pick gate.
Blasterbl2 : 0Nemiga Gaming
PRE-MATCH · 06.10.2026 00:40Blasterbl76%
PICK RESULTCORRECTMatch →
Yangon Galacticos2 : 1Cloud Dawning
PRE-MATCH · 06.10.2026 09:40Yangon Galacticos72%
PICK RESULTCORRECTMatch →
HULIGANI1 : 2CyberHero
PRE-MATCH · 05.10.2026 17:10No clear favorite50%
SIGNAL STATUSNO PICKMatch →
Xipto Esports2 : 0Direborn
PRE-MATCH · 05.10.2026 17:10Xipto Esports65%
SIGNAL STATUSWEAK SIGNALMatch →
Yangon Galacticos1 : 2InterActive Philippines
PRE-MATCH · 05.10.2026 17:10No clear favorite53%
SIGNAL STATUSNO PICKMatch →
MOUZ2 : 1Nemiga Gaming
PRE-MATCH · 04.10.2026 20:10MOUZ77%
PICK RESULTCORRECTMatch →
LEGION2 : 1Blasterbl
PRE-MATCH · 04.10.2026 17:10Blasterbl61%
SIGNAL STATUSWEAK SIGNALMatch →
Yellow Submarine2 : 0CyberHero
PRE-MATCH · 04.10.2026 14:10Yellow Submarine72%
PICK RESULTCORRECTMatch →
ЯЧЁ1232 : 0Team Kinetix
PRE-MATCH · 30.09.2026 15:57ЯЧЁ12363%
SIGNAL STATUSWEAK SIGNALMatch →
Team Synapse2 : 0HULIGANI
PRE-MATCH · 04.10.2026 11:10Team Synapse73%
PICK RESULTCORRECTMatch →
Direborn2 : 1Cloud Dawning
PRE-MATCH · 30.09.2026 15:57Direborn86%
PICK RESULTCORRECTMatch →
ЯЧЁ1231 : 2Cloud Dawning
PRE-MATCH · 30.09.2026 15:57ЯЧЁ12374%
PICK RESULTWRONGMatch →
InterActive Philippines2 : 0Ivory
PRE-MATCH · 30.09.2026 15:57InterActive Philippines63%
SIGNAL STATUSWEAK SIGNALMatch →
Team Spirit2 : 1Team Yandex
PRE-MATCH · 02.10.2026 19:10No clear favorite52%
SIGNAL STATUSNO PICKMatch →
1win2 : 1OG
PRE-MATCH · 03.10.2026 01:251win63%
SIGNAL STATUSWEAK SIGNALMatch →
PARIVISION2 : 0Aurora
PRE-MATCH · 02.10.2026 16:10PARIVISION80%
PICK RESULTCORRECTMatch →
LGD Gaming2 : 1GamerLegion
PRE-MATCH · 03.10.2026 01:25LGD Gaming68%
SIGNAL STATUSWEAK SIGNALMatch →
Rostik Team0 : 2Cake Team
PRE-MATCH · 30.09.2026 15:57Rostik Team57%
SIGNAL STATUSWEAK SIGNALMatch →
Xipto Esports2 : 0ЯЧЁ123
PRE-MATCH · 30.09.2026 15:57Xipto Esports69%
SIGNAL STATUSWEAK SIGNALMatch →
Direborn2 : 0Ivory
PRE-MATCH · 30.09.2026 15:57Direborn76%
PICK RESULTCORRECTMatch →
Cloud Dawning1 : 2InterActive Philippines
PRE-MATCH · 30.09.2026 15:57InterActive Philippines75%
PICK RESULTCORRECTMatch →
OG2 : 1BetBoom Team
PRE-MATCH · 01.10.2026 19:10BetBoom Team79%
PICK RESULTCORRECTMatch →
GamerLegion2 : 0Team Liquid
PRE-MATCH · 01.10.2026 22:25Team Liquid80%
PICK RESULTWRONGMatch →
LGD Gaming2 : 1Xtreme Gaming
PRE-MATCH · 01.10.2026 16:10LGD Gaming58%
SIGNAL STATUSWEAK SIGNALMatch →
HOW IT WORKS
Prediction is locked before the match starts
Bestorama uses the statistical production model native-team-player-v6-production-v1. The public snapshot is stored before match start and is not rewritten afterward. Metrics from real snapshots and historical validation are shown together with sample size.
RELATED CONTEXT
Больше о Dota 2
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