Pick Accuracy for actionable Winner signals only
n=0 · correct 0 · wrong 0
FREE PREDICTIONS
Free StarCraft II predictions
Free predictions for StarCraft II matches: pre-match win probability, result history and transparent model statistics. The prediction is locked before match start and does not change afterward.
0public predictions
for 7 days
for 7 days
0completed snapshots
in live history
in live history
929matches in historical
validation
validation
PRODactive model
sc2-elo-bo-h2h-v2-calibrated
sc2-elo-bo-h2h-v2-calibrated
STATISTICAL PREDICTION
StarCraft II predictions: win probability and model history
Bestorama показывает зафиксированные до старта вероятности по матчам StarCraft II. Здесь можно проверить текущие прогнозы, размер выборки, Brier score, историческую проверку и завершённые snapshot с фактическим результатом.
Это статистическая оценка, а не гарантия исхода: исходный pre-match snapshot после начала матча не переписывается, а экспериментальные shadow-модели не подменяют публичную production-вероятность.
VERIFIABLE METRICS
What the metrics mean →
How the model is performing now
Model Winner Accuracy across all scored snapshots
включает нейтральные/слабые сигналы · n=0Brier score — probability quality
skill: —Точность длины серии
n=0Самый вероятный сценарий
n=0 · log loss —Winner accuracy в исторической проверке
выборка n=929 · Brier skill —
Публикация StarCraft II:
Winner ON
Total OFF
Scenarios OFF
Метрики показываются вместе с размером выборки; небольшая выборка не маскируется маркетинговым процентом.
Dota 281.25%Bestorama Picks 70%+ · n=16
78.95%
Native v6 all scored · n=38
WLSpublication
Counter-Strike 278.26%Bestorama Picks 70%+ · n=92
69.69%
Native v6 all scored · n=254
WLSpublication
League of Legends76.19%Bestorama Picks 70%+ · n=21
59.65%
Native v6 all scored · n=57
WLSpublication
StarCraft II—Bestorama Picks 65%+ · n=0
69.32%
separate StarCraft model · historical validation · n=929
WLSpublication
StarCraft: Brood WarPROBProbability-only · Pick disabled
55.79%
separate StarCraft model · historical validation · n=95
WLSpublication
TODAY
Results history ↓ Today's predictions
Nothing here yet.
На сегодня больше нет публичных прогнозов, прошедших quality gate.
TOMORROW
Tomorrow's predictions
Nothing here yet.
На завтра пока нет публичных прогнозов, прошедших quality gate.
UPCOMING
Next predictions
Nothing here yet.
There are no public predictions for the following days that passed the quality gate yet.
TRANSPARENCY
All results →
Verified prediction history
Important: Model probability is stored and evaluated for every scored snapshot. The Pick gate depends on the discipline: Dota 2 / CS2 / LoL use 70%+, StarCraft II uses 65%+, while Brood War currently publishes probability-only without a Bestorama Pick. Brier score and diagnostic Winner Accuracy are not filtered by the Pick gate.
There are no completed scored snapshots in this selection yet.
The archive is filled automatically by Bestorama Prediction after matches finish.
HOW IT WORKS
Prediction is locked before the match starts
Bestorama uses the statistical production model sc2-elo-bo-h2h-v2-calibrated. The public snapshot is stored before match start and is not rewritten afterward. Metrics from real snapshots and historical validation are shown together with sample size.
RELATED CONTEXT
Больше о StarCraft II
Из прогнозов StarCraft II можно перейти к матчам, командам, турнирам и общему хабу дисциплины.